Round 15 Discussion and Trade Talk

[gloryboy]

R15 #supercoach Price Projection Analysis - TRADE IN TARGETS/CASH COWS
Here it is boys!

Some highlights
DEFs
Hurn $459k(R16)
Webster $419k(R17)

MIDs
Cripps $545k
Pendles $484k
Shuey $363k
Beams $458k (R18)

FWDs
Westhoff $490k
RobbieGray $501k
McLean $455k $439k(R16)
Riewoldt $324k
Billings $334k
Hogan $410k(R17)

COWS
OUT? Holman Fritsch Richards Cole ZGL

 

[Cripptonite]

Anyone else having issues with the layout on SuperCoach at the moment? Mine has looked like this since Friday night....

 

[Lowrider]

Anyone else having issues with the layout on SuperCoach at the moment? Mine has looked like this since Friday night....

Mine too. If I can get 30 on the field this week I'll be in for a good score....

 

[gloryboy]

Anyone else having issues with the layout on SuperCoach at the moment? Mine has looked like this since Friday night....

No issues here. Could be due to an issue with your browser and a recent update.

 

[Toadvine]

Not sure what to do with Treloar. I'm currently in the top 250 so holding seems like not an option if he misses. Trying to find a replacement under 520k so I can bring in Lloyd as well. Thinking Gaff, Beams or Zerret.....

 

[Bock Choy]

Anyone else having issues with the layout on SuperCoach at the moment? Mine has looked like this since Friday night....

Mine too! It seemed to deteriorate, previously it had the emergencies on the side but outside of the emergency box. If it's a browser thing, I'm using Firefox

 

[Centroprise]

Two upgrades to go for me. Looking at Fritch or Guelfi to Cripps (leaves 9 trades). Then final FWD upgrade next week (probably two trades to get there). Full team with 7 trades for the final 8/9 rounds.

 

[Andrew Singh]

Who to get in out of Crisp and Hurley. Can also get buddy through DPP but he has a tough draw on the run home.

 

[Centroprise]

Who to get in out of Crisp and Hurley. Can also get buddy through DPP but he has a tough draw on the run home.

Do you think Hurley can average 90+ for the rest of the season, with his role change?

Crisp is likely to go 95+ (maybe 100+) for the rest of the season.

Depending on your team Hurn and Webster as posted by @gloryboy would be good value over the coming weeks.

 

[gloryboy]

R15 Fixture Analysis
Here is a very basic summary of the remaining fixture for each team. According to the analysis
Easiest Fixture=HA CA PA
Hardest Fixture=GW AD ES WB

The only factor this analysis considers is ladder positions, it doesn't consider home ground advantage.

 

[Bombers56]

Just got this from Essendon, has changed my plans.
"Young Bomber Mason Redman will spend an extended period on the sidelines after suffering an untimely ankle injury in Essendon’s strong victory over West Coast.

Redman had impressed in his return to the senior side against Brisbane and the Eagles, but will be forced to watch the team from the stands after suffering the disappointing injury late in the final term last Thursday.

“Mason got his ankle caught on another player with five minutes to go in the West Coast game,” Physical Performance Manager Justin Crow said on the SKINS Injury Update on Tuesday.

“He ran off, he was assessed at the time – we thought he might have a syndesmosis injury – he was scanned (and) unfortunately he does, he has an injury to the anterior portion of his syndesmosis.”

 

[Crackhead]

Luke Shuey.... are we a nay or a yay?
Last spot in midfield currently have holman and 7 trades. If i want someone like kelly i have to do a couple trades of 1 up 1 down... and wont have any coin after either. If shuey will only cost me 1 trade and 10k

 

[gloryboy]

Luke Shuey.... are we a nay or a yay?
Last spot in midfield currently have holman and 7 trades. If i want someone like kelly i have to do a couple trades of 1 up 1 down... and wont have any coin after either. If shuey will only cost me 1 trade and 10k

Here's something I prepared earlier

Shuey 90-95 (averages in past seasons 2010-2017 74 95 103 91 100 97 106 96) - note doesn't include AFL finals series

WC has just had 2 bad losses, which may be reflective of Shuey's recent scores, but he could also be a bit slow coming back from injury. You'd expect him to get back to scoring of around 90-95?
Shuey tends to be a bit of a downhill skier, and is up and about in wins. In 2017, his average in wins=105 and loses=85, overall=96
WC have a 2xTop5 + 3xMiddle6-10 + 4xBottom8 games on the run home, but 5 games away from Optus.

Shuey is a gamble, it could pay off, but I would temper expectations with him. The difference between him and a gun could be 20 pts. Also there could be injury risk with him, or low scoring. Or he could return to an average of 100, which is what he started with in 2018.

Personally I would double trade to get a gun. That still leaves you with 5 trades. I'm in the same scenario in DEF. 7 trades left. 1 trade to gamble on a 450k player, or go and get a gun. I'm leaning towards a gun at this stage.

 

[Lowrider]

Here's something I prepared earlier

Shuey 90-95 (averages in past seasons 2010-2017 74 95 103 91 100 97 106 96) - note doesn't include AFL finals series

WC has just had 2 bad losses, which may be reflective of Shuey's recent scores, but he could also be a bit slow coming back from injury. You'd expect him to get back to scoring of around 90-95?
Shuey tends to be a bit of a downhill skier, and is up and about in wins. In 2017, his average in wins=105 and loses=85, overall=96
WC have a 2xTop5 + 3xMiddle6-10 + 4xBottom8 games on the run home, but 5 games away from Optus.

Shuey is a gamble, it could pay off, but I would temper expectations with him. The difference between him and a gun could be 20 pts. Also there could be injury risk with him, or low scoring. Or he could return to an average of 100, which is what he started with in 2018.

Personally I would double trade to get a gun. That still leaves you with 5 trades. I'm in the same scenario in DEF. 7 trades left. 1 trade to gamble on a 450k player, or go and get a gun. I'm leaning towards a gun at this stage.

Agree there. Shuey has never reached any great heights from a SC-perspective and WC don't have an easy draw. Might be a solid player but unlikely to be anything spectacular, might be a decent M8 at that price if you have someone else to loophole with at M9 and can't afford a topliner.

 

[Steven]

Thoughts on JKP to Cripps?
Potentially 15 points gained per week.

6 Trades left.

 

[Centroprise]

Luke Shuey.... are we a nay or a yay?
Last spot in midfield currently have holman and 7 trades. If i want someone like kelly i have to do a couple trades of 1 up 1 down... and wont have any coin after either. If shuey will only cost me 1 trade and 10k

Nay for mine

 

[gloryboy]

Thoughts on JKP to Cripps?
Potentially 15 points gained per week.

6 Trades left.

I think JPK is a good player to have on the run home.
But so is Cripps.
But I don't think the difference in scoring is worth the trade.
I have suggested to some that JPK is a viable trade-in option this week for Treloar.

Here's something I prepared earlier
JPK averaging 112 in his last 8 games, only going sub 100 in 1 game
R6 to R13=125 151 73 108 109 102 118 112
Tends to finish the season in hot form

 

[moosey]

Thoughts on JKP to Cripps?
Potentially 15 points gained per week.

6 Trades left.

I would hold here as JPK should score ok on the run home and I dont see enough upside in that trade to be worth it.
Assume there would be better trades available to your team in other positions.

 

[moosey]

Not sure what to do with Treloar. I'm currently in the top 250 so holding seems like not an option if he misses. Trying to find a replacement under 520k so I can bring in Lloyd as well. Thinking Gaff, Beams or Zerret.....

I actually like Beams of those three and he has a great run home in terms of SC pie points available.
Would also consider Mouch with Sloan/Laird returning this week and also Pendles as there is a chance with Treloar out this will see upside for Pendles.

 

[Nicko]

Have Sicily Laird Yeo and Simpson in the back line, who are the next best premo's i should bring in? Cheers