2017 Midfield Midpricers
- Thread starter cactus
- Start date
- Feb 16, 2016
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I'm not too sure it's a reflection on anyone's medicos, rather a reflection on the injury itself. A ruptured patellar tendon is one of the worst injuries you can get as a footballer. For comparison's sake, it's way worse than doing your ACL. ACL's aren't even a full year out anymore (we've had a few high profile guys over here in the USA come back to full fitness after like 8 or 9 months) and your knee comes back stronger than before surgery. Patellar tendon tears supposedly take a year to recover fully from, but more than likely it either takes at least 2 years to get back to full form or you just never reach it again. Part of it is that your leg is immobilized at the knee for a long time after surgery and your leg atrophies a lot. The other part is just how devastating this particular type of injury is.
I think this year will be very telling for JOM -- he'll either be all the way back or we'll know he's never going to get there. It makes him an extremely risky pick.
On reflection, I note that this is a "midpricers" thread, so pls read the following knowing that I assume that a guns and rookies structure is how many people prefer to play the game ...
Please, anyone and everyone, correct me if I'm wrong.
Don't we use whatever pre-season there is to select our rookies, and not our guns. I thought the common knowledge was that gun form is gun form when season comes, but will always be misjudged in the pre-season because of the various omissions from teams (both the teams they're in, and the teams they play).
Sure, its important to know that our guns are fit, but don't we expect that their scores will be so far off the real season scores that it is a bad gamble to select based on pre-season form?
My 2 cents worth ...
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- Feb 16, 2016
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Nope. I'm just so used to hearing about a patellar tendon tear being career threatening over here when in happens in the NFL/NBA. The grueling rehab process always gets beaten to death on sports TV. Players do come all the way back from it sometimes, the odds are just not as good as other injuries. It does help that JOM is really young. I'd probably back him to play a long career because his recovery looks very promising; I just think there's a bit too much risk for me to select him. I also think the probability of him dropping off as this season goes along is fairly high.
I see JOM as a similar option to Libba last year. For mine, realistically the best case scenario is he plays 20+ games and ends up being my last mid upgrade or possibly sits at M8/M9. If he's a genuine keeper all the better, but I'll be selecting primarily for early points and cash generation.
Bont is very much the exception, not the rule! You're playing with fire if your picking players in the hope they will play like a "once a decade" player like Bont.
Calm down, Bont isn't a once in a decade player. I'm just thinking not every rookie has the "second year blues" and young Oliver could be a good stepping stone to a GAJ come round 9. But I can do the same with a rookie anyway. I really like Oliver but you're right, maybe next year.
I was referring to "once a decade" in regard to how quickly he developed. I can't think of another player in recent history that could average 100+ in their 2nd season, it's very rare and Oliver is at the awkward price where you do probably need him to average at least around 95 to make any sort of decent coin.
Can some of you Cats supporters please expand a little on George Horlin-Smith? We're all salivating about JOM and Swallow but this bloke has had a great JLT and is only 234K which is basically a rookie price. What's his JS looking like? I noticed Scott Selwood isn't playing? Are they competing for the same spot?
In the absence of good rookies this year in the mids I just thought it was worth the question.
In the absence of good rookies this year in the mids I just thought it was worth the question.
It's just job security that's the worry, he's loved at the club, seen as a real leader, got a very SC friendly style but I'd need to see/hear Chris Scott say that he get's his chance this season.